Odds Of Poker Hands Texas Holdem

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The table below shows the odds of each hand winning in typical all-in match ups in Texas Holdem. The percentage chance of winning assumes that both players are all-in and that all 5 community cards will be dealt to determine a winner. The table also assumes that there are no other players in the hand, although the results should be very similar.

Now if your opponent bet $100 that would be a much dicier proposition. Suddenly you are risking $100 to win $200 and the odds are 200-100, or simplified, 2-1. The odds of winning poker games heavily rely on the strategy applied. As poker and Texas Holdem have somewhat different patterns of play, a player must be aware of several effective strategies that can win them the game. Pocket jacks is known as a big danger hand in Texas Hold’em. It may look good, but the chances of a higher card turning up on the flop is 52%, giving your ‘fish-hooks’ less than half a chance of survival. No wonder this poker variant is highly popular amongst gamblers at the casino. You will find several similarities between Texas Hold’em poker and classic poker games. For instance, the variation comes with betting rounds and the same hand ranking systems like straights, flushes, four-of-a-kind e.t.c.

All-in hands probability odds chart.

Typical Match UpHand 1Hand 2
Under Pair vs. OvercardsT T57%43%A K
Overpair vs. PairK K80%20%9 9
2 Overcards vs. 2 UndercardsA Q63%37%5 7
Dominated HandA J79%21%J T
Very Dominated HandQ Q89%11%Q J
Overcard vs. Dominated KickerA 929%71%9 9
Pair vs. 1 Overcard8 869%31%A 5
1 Overcard vs. 2 Middle CardsJ 457%43%6 8

How to use the all in match-ups odds chart.

The table can be used to estimate your chances of winning in common all-in situations, however, the table does not highlight the exact probabilities for the certain match-ups in general.

For example: in the pair v overcards match-up, 2 2 would be a 53% favorite against A K instead of being a slightly stronger favorite like T T with a 57% chance of winning. The is due to other factors such as the increased probability that two overpairs will appear on the board creating a higher two-pair with a better kicker for the player holding A K.

All in match up odds evaluation.

As you can see from the table, some of the match-ups are closer than you might expect them to be. For example, if you have another player dominated with a hand like A J against J T, your opponent will win the pot 1 time in 4. Therefore you should be careful not to become overly excited when cards like these are turned over in an all-in situation, because your opponent is not always as far behind as you think.

Another interesting all-in match up is the very common AK versus an under pair. The table shows that although the odds are fairly even, the under-pair will usually have the slight advantage.

Rules

This means that it is always better to be pushing all-in rather than calling an all-in with AK if necessary, because to call with AK against an under pair is a losing play in the long run. By pushing all-in with AK you give your opponent the opportunity to fold for fear of an overpair, which will improve your expectation in the long run.

Odds Of Poker Hands In Texas Hold'em

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